Daily NBA betting picks and analysis

By | November 17, 2022

Welcome to the day by day NBA Betting Market Report, your supply for evaluation of the day’s betting traces in skilled hoops. For updates all through the day, comply with me on Twitter and you’ll want to subscribe to the Hardwood Handicappers podcast!

All recreation traces by way of VSiN NBA odds web page.

Market report for Thursday, November 17

*Signifies that the staff is on the second leg of a consecutive match

**Traces are opening numbers

Greatest bets

File: 15-21 | Items: -6.31 | ROI: -18.54%

San Antonio Spurs vs. Sacramento Kings (-7, 238)

Sacramento is on a roll heading into this recreation with San Antonio. The Kings have coated 5 straight, and the staff is 7-2 SU/8-1 ATS in its final 9 video games with a web score of +5.4 in non-playoff time. Unsurprisingly, Sacramento has confirmed themselves with an offense that has put up 118.8 factors per 100 possessions in that run, and now ranks fourth on the season. It will appear that internet hosting the Spurs, a staff that allowed 117.5 factors per 100 possessions on the season, is an ideal recreation for the Kings, however this protection would make me hesitate to attract such a niche. Sacramento outscored opponents by simply 1.4 factors per 100 possessions in non-waste time for the season, as its 115.0 defensive score is fourth-worst within the league. Spurs coated 4 of 5 with an assault efficient sufficient to remain inside massive numbers laid down by poor defensive opponents, and that is the state of affairs tonight. There hasn’t been a lot motion from the aspect, however the whole is down from consensus 238 to 235.5.

Brooklyn Nets at Portland Path Blazers (-1.5, 220.5)

The final time Brooklyn was on the courtroom, their protection gave up 153 factors to Sacramento, and now that very same group is tasked with containing Damian Lillard and the Portland Path Blazers. The excellent news is that Portland hasn’t been as efficient on offense this season. They rank sixteenth in offensive effectivity in clear time (112.7) and in minutes with out Lillard on the bottom, their offensive score is simply 107.3 by Cleansing The Glass. The Path Blazers have been surprisingly good on the defensive aspect of the ground, however that appears to return with a little bit of smoke and mirrors, as Cleansing The Glass’ efficient subject purpose proportion ranks them thirtieth defensively. Possibly Brooklyn can expose that Portland weak spot, particularly if Jusuf Nurkic and Justise Winslow cannot play, each questionable tonight. Situationally, it is not the very best place for the Nets who’re on the final of a four-game street journey that immediately turned bitter, and we see the market reacting accordingly. Portland is now at consensus -2.5 with the whole falling to 219.5 at most shops. If Nurkic and Winslow miss this recreation, the Nets turn into extra of an possibility, because the Path Blazers protection ought to wrestle to comprise Durant.

Detroit Pistons vs Los Angeles Clippers (-9, 215.5)

November introduced extra constant play from Los Angeles. The Clippers are 5-3 SU / 6-2 ATS in these eight video games with a web odds of +2.9 in non-playoff time. Solely outsourced opponents of two.9 factors per 100 possessions should not encourage confidence in anybody seeking to make an enormous quantity out of Los Angeles as we speak, and neither ought to the damage report. Paul George is questionable with a hand damage, and if he cannot go, the Clippers offense will probably die out. In eight video games this month, George has averaged 26.4 factors on 48.3% taking pictures from the bottom and 37.1% from deep, and that offense has nonetheless solely put up 111.1. factors per 100 possessions. When he leaves the ground, their offensive score drops to 95.7 by Cleansing The Glass. Regardless of George’s doubtful tag, the market is transferring greater on the whole as it is a consensus of 216.5, but when he would not play anticipate it to fall under l aperture of 215.5.