Kyrie Irving’s return to Ben Simmons, Royce O’Neale trending up

By | November 21, 2022

We’re simply over a month into the NBA season, and there are already some notable tendencies we will benefit from.

Moreover, many key gamers have been injured together with Ja Morant, Tyrese Maxey and Cade Cunningham. We mentioned Cade in final week’s predictions, however it’s definitely value noting that he would possibly want surgical procedure.

Let’s dive into the ever-changing panorama of the NBA.

Groups and gamers to look at

Schedule: Tue. vs nets | Marry. among the many hornets | Friday at Magic | Solar. to the magic

Editor’s be aware: Joel Embiid anticipated to overlook not less than the following two Philadelphia 76ers video games, in accordance with a number of reviews.

The 76ers have obtained extra dangerous information as rising star Tyrese Maxey is about to overlook the following three to 4 weeks with a minor fracture in his left foot. With James Harden additionally on the mend for the following two weeks, the 76ers want some enjoying capacity.

Whereas De’Anthony Melton and Shake Milton ought to see some operating — we’ll talk about that later — it is time for Philadelphia MVP Joel Embiid to step in and lead this group.

The 76ers will not have Maxey’s (32.8%) and Harden’s (27.4%) utilization charges, the second and third highest on the group and though Embiid already has a utilization fee searing (37.5%), I count on it to extend of their absence.

Mitchell Leff/Getty Photographs. Pictured: Joel Embiid #21 of the Philadelphia 76ers.

He is already averaging 32.3 factors, 10.1 rebounds and 4.6 assists per recreation, however going again to final season, the place he ought to proceed to excel is passing the ball. He is averaged 6.4 assists in eight video games over the previous two seasons with out Maxey and Harden with six or extra assists in six of these eight video games.

Embiid’s prop traces towards Minnesota have been pegged at 33.5 factors, 11.5 rebounds and 5.5 assists. These traces are excessive, and that was in a recreation towards Rudy Gobert and Karl-Anthony Cities. If these traces stay static, there must be a possibility for overs given the 76ers’ comparatively unfastened schedule for frontcourts subsequent week with video games towards the Brooklyn Nets, Charlotte Hornets and Orlando Magic.

Embiid is presently as excessive as +1100 to win MVP on BetMGM, and I feel it is value it. It is his time with out Harden and Maxey and the purchase window closes.

Again within the 76ers backcourt, the 2 most attention-grabbing gamers are De’Anthony Melton and Shake Milton. They will be targets for props, but in addition in your fantasy leagues.

Melton and Milton had their prop traces set at 14.5 and 15.5 factors, 6.5 and 4.5 rebounds, and 5.5 and 5.5 assists respectively. Each erased their scoring traces with Melton amassing 19 factors, 5 boards and 600 to Milton’s 27 factors, six boards and two assists.

Each can have loads of scoring alternatives and it is value noting that Melton shot 5 of 9 on 3-pointers towards the Minnesota Timberwolves on Saturday. Melton takes 49% of his pictures from past the arc and may get loads of appears to be like over the break towards the Nets on Tuesday.

If his prop line is at 2.5 3s once more, it is a should guess.

Schedule: Tue vs. Kings | Fri vs. Pelicans | Solar. at Knicks

The Memphis Grizzlies will now be with out Desmond Bane (toe) and Ja Morant (ankle) for the following few weeks.

This may have a huge effect on them total: they’re two of their most-used gamers and two of their finest, as Bane has a +14.8 level differential and Morant has a +13.6 level differential this season. The compound impact of their absence is critical as it’s going to pressure the Grizzlies to make use of their comparatively inexperienced depth, particularly within the backcourt.

The group is just +2.2 total on the season, however for those who take out Bane or Morant the group dips to -5.1 and with each out of the squad they simply cannot not rating with a -8.8 level differential whereas solely scoring 101.3 factors per 100 possessions, per Cleansing the Glass.

Jaren Jackson Jr. being within the lineup helps, however he is not dribbling the ball on the ground. This creates a void the place Tyus Jones, Dillon Brooks, John Konchar, Jake LaRavia and David Roddy are invited to play extra minutes. Whereas Brooks remains to be up for the duty, the others are usually suited to small bench roles in the mean time.

Konchar has probably the most to realize on this situation, he is seen his minutes bounce with out Bane and performed greater than half-hour per recreation within the Grizzlies’ final 4 video games. His prop traces have been pegged at 10.5 factors, 6.5 rebounds, 1.5 assists and 1.5 3-pointers. He simply recorded 16/9/7 and shot 2 of seven from deep towards the Nets. He must be focused in an expanded function.

As for the Grizzlies as a complete? I am actively trying to guess towards them, and I am very curious to see the place they open the road towards the Kings on Tuesday.

Schedule: Tue. at 76ers | Marry. at Raptors | Fri. at Pacers | Solar. vs. Path Blazers

Kyrie Irving is again from suspension and the Nets rotations are on the transfer once more. An enchanting wrinkle is that Kevin Durant really scores 3.0 extra factors per recreation with Irving than with out him this season and is averaging 31.8 in these video games; nonetheless, he’s seeing a drop in his rebounds and assists.

The large winner from an adjunct perspective, although. is Royce O’Neale. Count on to see its quantity enhance, particularly at lengthy vary. That is partly attributable to the truth that Irving operates within the pick-and-roll farther on the perimeter and O’Neale is usually on the weak facet throughout this motion.

Consequently, Irving likes to play crosscourt to the weak facet, and O’Neale is often that focus on. Apart from Durant, O’Neale is the second most frequent recipient of Irving’s passes – he receives 20.8% of Irving’s passes and he shoots 47.1% of these passes.

Nathaniel S. Butler/NBAE through Getty Photographs. Pictured: Royce O’Neale #00 and Kyrie Irving #11 of the Brooklyn Nets.

His prop 3s continued to be pegged at 1.5, however with Irving he averaged 2.7 3s on 6.1 makes an attempt with not less than two 3-pointers in eight of these 9 video games. Play him even with juice going ahead, but when that line goes to 2.5, beware he is made three 3s or extra in simply 4 of these 9 video games with Irving.

The one different Nets participant who has taken form these days is Ben Simmons. Over the previous week, he averaged 16 factors, 8.7 rebounds and 5.0 assists in comparison with season averages of seven.9 factors, 6.8 rebounds and 5.7 assists.

Along with his level line at simply 8.5 and PRA at 23.5 final recreation, this may very well be a shopping for window for Simmons, particularly at a rematch venue in Philadelphia on Tuesday.