NBA Odds: Rockets vs Mavericks prediction, odds and picks

By | November 16, 2022

The Houston Rockets (2-12) go to the Dallas Mavericks (8-5) on Wednesday night time. Tipoff is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Beneath we proceed our NBA odds sequence with a Rockets-Mavericks prediction and decide.

Houston has misplaced three straight video games and is in final place within the Western Convention. The Rockets are 6-7-1 ATS with 57% of their video games accomplished. Dallas is on the other trajectory, having received back-to-back video games and residing in fifth place within the West. The Mavericks are 3-9-1 ATS with 62% of their video games overshot.

This would be the first assembly between the division rivals after Dallas received all 4 final season. The Mavericks received by 10, 24, 13 and 19 factors. Two of 4 video games topped tonight’s 221 level complete.

Listed here are the NBA Rockets-Mavericks odds, courtesy of FanDuel

NBA Odds: Rockets-Mavericks Odds

Houston Rockets: +9 (-112)

Dallas Mavericks: -9 (-108)

Over: 221 (-108)

Minus: 221 (-112)

Why rockets might cowl the unfold

The Rockets maintain the NBA’s worst file and are the one crew with out three wins this season. Houston was beneath par offensively (twenty fourth in factors / twenty sixth in offensive effectivity) however its actual woes got here on the defensive aspect (twenty eighth in factors in opposition to / twenty ninth in defensive effectivity). Houston is without doubt one of the three worst defensive groups within the league alongside fellow oil tankers Detroit and San Antonio. The one space they’re respectable at is on the glass (eighth in rebound price) — a stable benefit to have in opposition to a Dallas crew that is struggled to rebound.

Houston is led by a pair of gifted younger guards in Jalen Inexperienced and Kevin Porter Jr. Inexperienced leads the crew in scoring with 22.0 PPG from 43.3 % from the sphere and 37.5 % from past the arc. He is coming off a robust all-around efficiency in opposition to the Clippers. Within the loss, Inexperienced scored 25 factors (10-19 capturing), pulled out six rebounds and dished out seven assists. It was Inexperienced’s sixth straight 20-point sport. He struggled as a rookie in opposition to the Mavericks – scoring simply 10.3 factors per sport on 34.8% capturing. Count on a greater efficiency this yr for the second-year professional.

Kevin Porter Jr. has discovered his dwelling as second fiddle in Houston over the previous few years and this season isn’t any totally different. KPJ is averaging a career-high 19.2 PPG with 40.9% capturing. Though he typically struggles to be efficient, Porter Jr. is a dynamic playmaker when coping with the ball. He leads Houston with 5.6 APG regardless of an unsightly 3.9 turnovers per sport. He was stable in opposition to Dallas final season averaging 13 factors and 5.3 assists on 49% capturing.

The X issue for Houston must be their huge man, Alperen Sengun. The second-year professional has made an enormous leap ahead this season as a full-time starter. He’s third on the crew in factors (16.1 PPG) and leads the crew in rebounds (8.7 RPG). Sengun shoots an efficient 57.4% clip and is not afraid to go to the free-throw line the place he knocks them down at a 78% price.

Why Mavericks Would possibly Cowl the Unfold

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Dallas continued to roll after selecting up a slim win over the Clippers final night time. The Mavericks have an elite protection (third in factors allowed/eighth in defensive effectivity) that has solely given up greater than 115 factors as soon as all season. Offensively, they’re in the course of the highway (twenty second in scoring / ninth in offensive effectivity). They have been susceptible on the glass, nevertheless, as they’re twenty first in rebound price and maintain twenty third in rebound differential.

Luka Doncic is the catalyst for Dallas as he leads the crew in virtually each statistical class. He is assured 30 factors each night time and is a continuing menace to piece collectively a triple-double. For the season, Luka is averaging 34.4 PPG, 8.8 RPG, and seven.8 APG. He’s coming off a stable efficiency in opposition to the Clippers the place he scored 35 factors and grabbed 11 rebounds.

Though Luka is Dallas’ fixed, he cannot do all of it himself. The Mavericks have various artful veterans, however tonight search for huge man Christian Wooden to play a key function. Wooden was acquired from Houston earlier than the season and the Rockets are those he broke into the league. He had a robust begin to his profession with the Mavericks – averaging 15.8 factors and seven.5 rebounds in minutes. Search for head coach Jason Kidd to offer Wooden an prolonged run in opposition to his former crew.

Remaining Rockets-Mavericks prediction and decide

The Mavericks smoked the Rockets final yr – profitable each sport by greater than 10 factors. Regardless of Houston’s file, they’ve improved sufficient that I do not really feel proper selecting Dallas to blast them. Over bets are far more engaging given Houston’s porous protection.

Rockets-Mavericks Remaining Prediction and Choice: Over 221 (-108)